Stratospheric variability contributed to and sustained the recent hiatus in Eurasian winter warming - Dr. Chaim Garfinkel

The rate of surface warming over the most recent 15 or so years has been considerably less than that since the mid-20th century - the so-called hiatus. This effect is most pronounced over Eurasia in wintertime, where a series of cold winters has led some to cast doubt on the basic science behind anthropogenic climate change. The cause of this cooling is still not understood. In this paper, we demonstrate that the recent Eurasian cooling was caused, at least in part, by stratospheric processes. Similar hiatus events could happen again even in a future with high GHG concentrations.

Accepted by Geophysical Research Letters.

 

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